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| Backgammon Mistake 4 |
This mistake of mine isn't a specific move but a really awful double. I was in the situation shown as white and my "bright idea" was that due to the average roll being 8.2 I was actually ahead in pip count. As this was a pure race situation I was therefore ahead and should double. The double was quickly accepted by my opponent who then won whilst I was left with 6 pips to bare off dispute neither of us rolling doubles.
This served as a very valuable lesson that demonstrates how much of an advantage having spread out checkers is. I thought I was somewhere in the region of 50%-55% favorite but running is through GNU it turns out my winning chances are 29% ! I guess I should count myself lucky that red didn't redouble me as I would have probably accepted.
I'm not going to beat myself up too much over this as I lost an extra 35p here but learnt a potentially very valuable lesson about just how much spreading your checkers is worth.
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