Backgammon Mistake 2

Backgammon Mistake 2

Cash game on Play65 35p/point

Rolled 63 and played 24/15 which lost me .147 equity 

Reasons behind my play
I wasn't keen to relinquish my anchor on the 21 point so running and hoping I wasn't hit seemed like the best move. I was aware that the opponent was favorite to hit on his roll but with only 2 home points made I wasn't afraid of dancing if I was put on the bar.

Correct play 24/18 21/18
Advantages

• Moves my point forward which makes it easier to escape next round
• if I roll big next round the spare checker on the 21 point could run home whilst I maintain the 18 point to hit enemy blots safely from.
• It wastes less pips if hit
• If the enemy does hit on his 4 point and can't cover then my next roll has over 1/3 chance of hitting him back, with 5 points made in my home board this could prove fatal for red. 

Disadvantages

• Breaks my current anchor in the enemies home board